Patna: Barely months after the end of the Bihar assembly elections, fresh political churn appears imminent in the state, with speculation rife over possible defections from both the Congress and NDA allies.

Sources told The Indian Express that all six Congress MLAs in Bihar are in touch with Chief Minister Nitish Kumar-led JD(U), raising the possibility of a mass crossover. If the move materialises, the Congress, a key constituent of the RJD-led Opposition alliance, would be left without a single representative in the Assembly.

At the same time, the BJP, the single largest party in the state, is reportedly working to further consolidate its strength. According to media reports, three of the four MLAs of Upendra Kushwaha’s Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM), an NDA ally, have been in contact with BJP leaders, highlighting subtle power dynamics and an undercurrent of competition for dominance within the ruling coalition.

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In the November 2025 Bihar elections, the NDA won 202 seats, with the BJP and JD(U) securing 89 and 85 seats, respectively. The Mahagathbandhan managed 35 seats, of which the RJD accounted for 25. The Congress won six of the 61 seats it contested.

The Congress MLAs are Manohar Prasad Singh (Manihari), Surendra Prasad (Valmiki Nagar), Abhishek Ranjan (Chanpatia), Abidur Rahman (Araria), Md Kamrul Hoda (Kishanganj), and Manoj Biswan (Forbesganj).

Speculation over a possible defection spree gained momentum after the Bihar Congress hosted a 'Dahi-chura' party at its Sadaquat Ashram headquarters on the eve of Makar Sankranti, but none of the six MLAs attended the gathering. The absence has fuelled claims by NDA leaders that "all the Congress MLAs are gearing up to cross over the fence for greener pastures."

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Bihar Congress president Rajesh Ram dismissed the speculation, asserting that "NDA leaders were spreading rumours."

However, LJP minister Sanjay Singh in the Nitish government maintained, "Let the auspicious period begin. Post-Makar Sankranti, there will be a mass exodus within the Congress as all the party legislators are likely to join the NDA."