Patna: The votes are in, and exit polls are predicting an advantage for Nitish Kumar in the Bihar Assembly elections. Several pollsters have projected a strong lead for the NDA, which contested in alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). According to estimates, the NDA is expected to win around 147 seats in the 243-member Assembly, while the Opposition INDI alliance is projected to get 90seats.

The 2025 Bihar Assembly Election has concluded its final phase of polling on November 11, setting the stage for exit poll results that provide the first glimpse into voter sentiment. Voting across 122 constituencies in 20 districts wrapped up at 5 pm, marking the end of an intense campaign season filled with high turnout, sharp political messaging, and closely fought contests.

Exit Poll Highlights (Bihar Assembly Election 2025):

Times Now–JVC Exit Poll:

  • NDA – 135 to 150
  • INDI Alliance – 88 to 103
  • Others – 4 to 6

Forecasts a comfortable lead for the NDA, indicating a steady performance across key constituencies.

Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll:

  • NDA – 145 to 160
  • INDI Alliance – 73 to 91
  • Others – 5 to 10

Suggests strong statewide momentum for the NDA with the INDIA bloc trailing behind.

Chanakya Exit Poll:

  • NDA – 130 to 138
  • INDI Alliance – 100 to 108
  • Others – 3 to 5

Projects a closer contest but still places the NDA marginally ahead of the opposition alliance.

News24-Matrize Exit Poll 2025:

  • NDA – 147 to 167
  • INDI Alliance – 70 to 90
  • Others – 4 to 10

Predicts a decisive edge for the NDA, indicating it could comfortably cross the majority mark of 122 seats.

Peoples Pulse gives NDA strong majority projection

  • NDA – 133 to 159
  • Mahagathbandhan – 75 to 101
  • Jan Suraaj – 0 to 5
  • Others – 2 to 8

Projects a strong majority for the NDA, suggesting Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s coalition may retain power.

News18 Mega Exit Poll shows NDA ahead in first phase

  • NDA – 60 to 70
  • Mahagathbandhan – 45 to 55
  • Jan Suraaj – 0
  • Others – 0

Shows NDA ahead in the first phase, continuing its 2020 momentum.

As polling concluded in the high-stakes Bihar Assembly Elections, exit polls released on Tuesday forecast a clear victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with the opposition Mahagathbandhan projected to finish a distant second.

The exit polls also suggested a disappointing debut for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, which is expected to win only between 0 and 5 seats in the 243-member Assembly.

Polling for the Bihar elections was held in two phases on November 6 and 11, with results scheduled to be announced on November 14.

According to projections:

  • Dainik Bhaskar predicted 145–160 seats for the NDA, 73–91 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0–3 for Jan Suraaj.
  • Matrize Exit Poll forecast the NDA winning 147–167 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 70–90, and Jan Suraaj 0–2.
  • People’s Insight projected 133–148 seats for the NDA, 87–102 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0–2 for Jan Suraaj.
  • People’s Pulse gave the NDA 133–159 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 75–101, and Jan Suraaj 0–5.

The majority mark in the Bihar Assembly stands at 122 seats.

Exit poll predictions are based on interviews with voters conducted immediately after they cast their votes and may not always reflect the actual outcome when votes are counted.

The NDA, comprising the BJP, JD(U) and LJP (Ram Vilas), is seeking another term in office. Meanwhile, the INDIA bloc, consisting of the RJD, Congress, and Left parties, is contesting under the leadership of Tejashwi Yadav, the Rashtriya Janata Dal’s chief ministerial candidate.